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View Poll Results: Who will win the brownlow and can the winner still come from outside of these 4?

Voters
14. REGISTER to Vote.
  • Danger $4.00

    2 14.29%
  • Sloane $5.50

    0 0%
  • Martin $6.00

    5 35.71%
  • Bont $8.00

    0 0%
  • No, the winner will be one of these 4

    2 14.29%
  • Yes, the winner can still come from outside of these 4

    9 64.29%
Multiple Choice Poll.
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  1. #1
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    3 Not allowed!

    Not quite Danger's but pretty close i reckon. 7 weeks to go though so there's still plenty of votes to be given.

    Anyone standing out as value? Can't help but notice Pendles at $101. Would need to really start dominating i know but proven vote getter and going around with a shocking haircut which we all know means he will slot in nicely with Priddis/Fyfe as previous winners.

    Current markets after round 16
    Danger 2.25 vs the Field 1.65 (sportsbet)

    Outright winner (sportsbet)
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    Top 3 (crownbet)
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    Quinella (crownbet)
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    Geelong/Brownlow markets (crownbet)
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Views: 507
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    Last edited by IDIG; 12-07-2016 at 11:37am.
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  2. #2
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    1 Not allowed!

    Win/Place market (TAB)

    Win Place
    DANGERFIELD Patrick (GEEL) 2.25 1.31
    HANNEBERY Daniel (SYD) 8 2.75
    MARTIN Dustin (RICH) 10 3.25
    PARKER Luke (SYD) 10 3.25
    SELWOOD Joel (GEEL) 11 3.5
    SLOANE Rory (ADEL) 13 4
    MITCHELL Sam (HAW) 13 4
    BONTEMPELLI Marcus (WB) 17 5
    PRIDDIS Matt (WCE) 21 6
    WARD Callan (GWS) 26 7.25
    GAWN Max (MELB) 26 7.25
    KENNEDY Josh (SYD) 26 7.25
    SHUEY Luke (WCE) 26 7.25
    HUNTER Lachie (WB) 26 7.25
    GIBBS Bryce (CARL) 34 9.25
    SHAW Heath (GWS) 34 9.25
    SHIEL Dylan (GWS) 34 9.25
    LEWIS Jordan (HAW) 34 9.25
    GOLDSTEIN Todd (NM) 34 9.25
    STEVEN Jack (STK) 34 9.25
    FRANKLIN Lance (SYD) 34 9.25
    GAFF Andrew (WCE) 34 9.25
    PENDLEBURY Scott (COLL) 41 11
    TRELOAR Adam (COLL) 41 11
    CONIGLIO Stephen (GWS) 41 11
    GRAY Robbie (PORT) 41 11
    MITCHELL Tom (SYD) 51 13.5
    NEALE Lachie (FREM) 67 17.5
    BOAK Travis (PORT) 67 17.5
    THOMPSON Scott (ADEL) 81 21
    WALKER Taylor (ADEL) 81 21
    ABLETT Gary (GC) 81 21
    SCULLY Tom (GWS) 81 21
    JONES Nathan (MELB) 81 21
    WAITE Jarrad (NM) 81 21
    ZIEBELL Jack (NM) 81 21
    RIEWOLDT Nick (STK) 81 21
    DAHLHAUS Luke (WB) 81 21
    LIBERATORE Tom (WB) 81 21
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  3. #3
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    0 Not allowed!

    Leader after round 5 (crownbet)
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    Leader after round 10 (sportsbet)
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Views: 511
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    Leader after round 12 (crownbet)
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Views: 503
Size:  194.7 KB
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  4. #4
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    1 Not allowed!

    Bontempelli as arough place chance?

  5. #5
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    0 Not allowed!

    Quote Originally Posted by IDIG View Post
    Not quite Danger's but pretty close i reckon. 7 weeks to go though so there's still plenty of votes to be given.

    Anyone standing out as value? Can't help but notice Pendles at $101. Would need to really start dominating i know but proven vote getter and going around with a shocking haircut which we all know means he will slot in nicely with Priddis/Fyfe as previous winners.
    Probably can't win but $251 for Daniel Wells stands out to me. If he got on the park this week and only missed one or two more games you'd think he'd poll okay. Might see what he's paying for top 5 or top 10 or something..

  6. #6
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    0 Not allowed!

    Quote Originally Posted by stephen View Post
    Probably can't win but $251 for Daniel Wells stands out to me. If he got on the park this week and only missed one or two more games you'd think he'd poll okay. Might see what he's paying for top 5 or top 10 or something..
    Wells $38.50 for top 3 on TAB. Not sure how much that would change for top 5 though, maybe low tens? Has been outstanding in a lot of games, reckon it's not a bad bet at all.
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  7. #7
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    1 Not allowed!

    Quote Originally Posted by IDIG View Post
    Wells $38.50 for top 3 on TAB. Not sure how much that would change for top 5 though, maybe low tens? Has been outstanding in a lot of games, reckon it's not a bad bet at all.
    Can't find any top 5 or top 10 markets unfortunately. There's $100 for him to finish top 3 on Crown Bet. Fair bit would have to go right but seems a very good price to me.

  8. #8
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    0 Not allowed!

    I like the look of Gawn at $51
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    I Wanna Go Fast

  9. #9
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    0 Not allowed!

    Quote Originally Posted by stephen View Post
    Can't find any top 5 or top 10 markets unfortunately. There's $100 for him to finish top 3 on Crown Bet. Fair bit would have to go right but seems a very good price to me.
    Oh i completely missed the top 3 market on there. Have added it to the above as well. $101 is a massive difference to the $38.50 on offer at the TAB!
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  10. #10
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    1 Not allowed!

    If Bont continues his recent form...
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  11. #11
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    0 Not allowed!

    Just comparing a couple of the markets.

    TAB - Heath Shaw $34/$9.25 to win/place
    Crownbet - Heath Shaw $151/$34 to win/place

    TAB - Boak $17.50 to place
    Crownbet - Boak $67 to place

    TAB - Liberatore $21 to place
    Crownbet - $51 to place

    Crazy discrepancies.
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  12. #12
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    1 Not allowed!

    Quote Originally Posted by IDIG View Post
    Just comparing a couple of the markets.

    TAB - Heath Shaw $34/$9.25 to win/place
    Crownbet - Heath Shaw $151/$34 to win/place

    TAB - Boak $17.50 to place
    Crownbet - Boak $67 to place

    TAB - Liberatore $21 to place
    Crownbet - $51 to place

    Crazy discrepancies.
    TAB hardly ever offers better odds, those difference are huge
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  13. #13
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    4 Not allowed!

    I've been unable to provide any specific counts on the Brownlow this year due to contractual agreements, but will give some commentary in due course.

    For the record, I have Daniel Wells at 7.75 votes. Danger leads comfortably overall

  14. #14
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    2 Not allowed!

    Shuey very good odds at $34, but in reality, he can't beat Danger unless he's rubbish/injured for the rest of the year.

    Hanners way too low as 2nd favourite. Will get a lot of 1s and 2s but not enough 3s. Parker will take quite a few 3s.
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  15. #15
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    1 Not allowed!

    Quote Originally Posted by Zagbag View Post
    I've been unable to provide any specific counts on the Brownlow this year due to contractual agreements, but will give some commentary in due course.

    For the record, I have Daniel Wells at 7.75 votes. Danger leads comfortably overall
    Who are you affiliated with, if you dont mind me asking?
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  16. #16
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    1 Not allowed!

    ESPN have Sloane in front on 21 votes.

    Their top 5 after round 16:
    Sloane 21
    Danger 20
    Parker 20
    Dusty 18
    Selwood 15

    Vote getting games:
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    Bit of a blurb can be found on each as well.
    http://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/i...star-rises-top
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  17. #17
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    10 Not allowed!

    Quote Originally Posted by MrMurdoch View Post
    Who are you affiliated with, if you dont mind me asking?
    Sportsbet.

    For example - here's my preview of the British Open golf this week

    http://asapindex.com/formpredictor/golf/et2016.html
    Last edited by Zagbag; 13-07-2016 at 11:20am.

  18. #18
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    1 Not allowed!

    Danger/Sloane Quinella $15 is alright

    also Danger Treloar not even on the page would be a nice little sneaky also
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  19. #19
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    0 Not allowed!

    Quote Originally Posted by Footyrulz View Post
    Shuey very good odds at $34, but in reality, he can't beat Danger unless he's rubbish/injured for the rest of the year.

    Hanners way too low as 2nd favourite. Will get a lot of 1s and 2s but not enough 3s. Parker will take quite a few 3s.
    Shuey is a big smokie... He's having a fantastic season this year and goes under the radar in Melbourne. But your right I still think Danger has to completely stop from here for anyone else to win it.
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  20. #20
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    0 Not allowed!

    Pendlebury to place is alright at $17
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